TLDR Founders 2024-04-01

SBF’s 25 Year Sentence ⚖️, Intro to SAFEs 💰, Avoid Start-up Blunders ♟️

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Headlines & Trends

FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried Sentenced To 25 Years (4 minute read)

Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX, was sentenced to 25 years in prison for orchestrating one of the largest financial frauds in history, involving the theft of over $8 billion from customers. The sentence falls significantly below the maximum of 110 years he faced but exceeds the leniency his defense sought. The collapse of FTX represents a monumental failure in the startup world, surpassing even the Theranos scandal in scale. It has had a profound chilling effect on venture investing in the crypto sector, though recent data suggests a tentative recovery in crypto-related investments.

When a Billion Dollar Outcome Isn’t Enough (5 minute read)

This article discusses the challenging expectations venture funds have for startups, noting that a $1 billion exit might not suffice for large funds due to the power law of returns, which says that a significant portion of returns comes from a small number of investments. The article further delves into the importance of understanding revenue multiples, efficiency benchmarks like CAC Payback Period, the Rule of 40, Revenue per Employee, and the impact of operating expenditures on a company's financial health, highlighting the need for startups to align their growth and valuation expectations with investors' requirements for substantial returns.

Avoid Blundering: 80% of a Winning Strategy (19 minute read)

Avoiding blunders is crucial for success in various fields, including chess, amateur tennis, and startups. Not making critical mistakes can constitute 80% of winning. Key strategies for reducing risk and achieving success include recognizing and steering clear of common pitfalls, such as failing to understand customer needs or prematurely scaling.
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Strategies & Tactics

How to Do Event Marketing Right (16 minute read)

This article provides practical tips for leveraging in-person event marketing as a growth channel. It emphasizes the importance of selecting the right events, optimizing trade show booths, utilizing side and partner events, engaging in guerrilla marketing, seeking speaking opportunities, and negotiating rates to maximize impact and generate revenue. The article highlights the distinction between field and brand marketing events, advocating for a strategic approach to event marketing that aligns with a company's goals and target customer profile (ICP) for effective lead generation and brand awareness.

Is It SAFE? (5 minute read)

Using multiple SAFEs (Simple Agreements for Future Equity) for fundraising without a clear understanding of ownership dilution can lead to founders being surprised by how much equity they've given away when they finally conduct a priced round. Stacked SAFEs, where different rounds of investment occur at various valuation caps without diluting early investors, can result in significant founder dilution and complex cap table calculations, as well as legal and financial complications.
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Tools & Resources

The Ultimate Guide to Startup Metrics (Report)

KPIs outlined by company sector and stage.

Waitforit (Tool)

Create a waitlist in seconds.

Butternut AI (Tool)

Build your dream website in 20 seconds with AI.
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Miscellaneous

What Happens to Tech Startups that Never Go Public? (5 minute read)

This article discusses the recent feeding frenzy among AI startups, with dozens of investment firms deploying capital in the space, but warns that the frenzy has slowed and many of these companies may face challenges in the future. It draws parallels to the past performance of technology companies, highlighting that many growth-stage tech companies are marked at unsustainable valuations, and suggests that while some may go public or be acquired, many will have to endure a valuation reset through down round investments, subscale strategic exits, or private equity exits.

How Profitable Should SaaS Be? (8 minute read)

While high gross margins set the profitability ceiling, efficient management of operating expenses (OpEx) is crucial as a company matures and its revenue growth slows. Not all cloud companies are equally adept at reducing OpEx as a percentage of revenue, which is a significant factor in their long-term profitability and ability to capitalize on growth opportunities or return value to shareholders.

Navigating Key Growth Mistakes Through the Lens of User Onboarding (8 minute read)

This author delves into the critical aspects of user onboarding, highlighting five common mistakes that can hinder product growth, such as unclear product value communication and the lack of a coherent growth system. They emphasize the importance of clear value communication, collaborative growth strategies across teams, practical activation metrics, regular user research, and alignment between product, marketing, and sales to enhance user onboarding and product adoption.
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Quick Links

Common Mistakes When Starting to Scale (2 minute read)

Common pitfalls when scaling from $1 million to $10 million in ARR include diversifying into new markets prematurely, compromising on key hires, micromanaging, misunderstanding financial models, overconfidence in high win rates, and neglecting customer satisfaction, all of which can significantly derail growth.

Who is Winning the AI Talent Wars? (2 minute read)

Microsoft is currently ahead of the competition in the AI talent wars.

Boyle’s Law (1 minute read)

Achieving work-life balance is about managing the 'container' of work within our lives, akin to Boyle's law on gas pressure and volume, emphasizing the need for courage and acceptance of trade-offs in adjusting work's role in our lives.
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