TLDR Product Management 2024-04-30

Managing up ⬆️, 7 fails of roadmap-making 🙅, instrumenting your product for user analytics 🛠️

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News & Trends

Are LLMs about to hit a wall? (8 minute read)

Each new generation of LLMs demands vast amounts of data, computing power, and energy, leading to concerns about the sustainability of their scaling. As limits on resources loom, the industry must innovate with more efficient training methods and specialized hardware to avoid hitting developmental limits.

Meta and reasonable doubt (10 minute read)

Investors are alarmed as Meta announces increased spending, particularly on AI investments, leading to a significant drop in share prices. While Mark Zuckerberg attempts to reassure investors, concerns arise about the company's short to medium-term prospects, especially regarding the clarity of revenue opportunities and the timing of returns on investment.

Managing up (14 minute read)

The deterioration of tech products, attributed to "rot economics," has been facilitated by a managerial class that prioritizes short-term market gains over innovation. This reflects a broader issue of entrusting tech's future to management consultants rather than those involved in actual product creation, leading to disconnected leadership and a decline in real value creation.
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Opinions & Tutorials

7 fails of roadmap-making (8 minute read)

When creating long-term plans, several common pitfalls should be avoided: overly detailed effort estimations, excessive focus on current conditions, overemphasis on competition, prioritizing outputs over outcomes, plans that are too public, lack of actionable steps, and insufficient communication.

Moving from AI assistants to AI agents (5 minute read)

AI agents surpass the basic functions of a simple "assistant" by exhibiting advanced reasoning and capabilities that allow them to perform tasks on users' behalf, transitioning AI from a "read-only" to a "read-write" operation. This shift brings us closer to realizing AI's full potential, especially in enterprise settings, where AI can handle various aspects of a workflow.

Twitter's former head of product opens up: being fired, meeting Elon, changing stagnant culture, and more (95 minute podcast)

This podcast dives into Kayvon Beykpour's experience at Twitter, including his departure after Elon Musk's acquisition, the cultural changes he implemented, his views on frameworks like JTBD, the reasons behind Periscope's failure, and advice for building consumer products. He discusses challenging ingrained assumptions, fostering alignment, understanding customer needs, and continuous learning from both successes and failures.
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Resources & Tools

Solving market sizing questions (6 minute read)

This article covers market sizing strategies for PMs, highlighting common errors using historical examples like AT&T's flawed 1980 forecast. It details frameworks for accurately estimating market sizes for both existing and innovative products, essential for strategic decision-making in product management.

Startup canvas: product strategy and a business model for a new product (6 minute read)

The Startup Canvas can be used as an adaptable tool for startups to clarify their product strategy and business model. A holistic view is important in strategy development and stakeholder engagement.
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Miscellaneous

Communicating GenAI product launches: how to get it right (4 minute read)

It's important to prepare internally with clear commitment and cross-departmental collaboration, ensuring employee buy-in, and focusing on solving customer pain points to effectively develop and communicate GenAI-driven products.

An unsuccessful video game turned into a $26 billion startup (10 minute read)

Slack, initially a gaming company, became a transformative communication tool in the tech industry. Its rapid growth to a billion-dollar valuation was fueled by product-led growth, a freemium model, and a focus on user engagement and retention, without traditional advertising.

How to ask for a favor (10 minute read)

Asking for favors can feel intimidating, but the right approach can ease the process and increase your likelihood of success. Effective strategies include building a relationship first, being ready for possible rejection, treating the process like a numbers game, simplifying the request, making it easy for the other person to say yes, ensuring the favor benefits both parties, finding a common connection, and committing to reciprocate in the future.
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Quick Links

A controversial take on instrumenting your product for user analytics (2 minute read)

A culture where engineers take more ownership of instrumenting products for user analytics aligns with a broader strategy of PMs sharing responsibility with engineering teams for opportunity identification, discovery, and design.

How to find time (and willpower) for optics work (2 minute video)

To better engage in optics work, consider these tips: retrain your brain to view optics work positively, allocate specific times for optics during less productive periods of your day, and move away from an all-or-nothing mindset.

The golden formula for a successful product vision (2 minute read)

While articulating a clear product vision is crucial for aligning teams, providing a high-level picture of the product's long-term goals must be complemented by ensuring that every team member understands the underlying purpose and significance of achieving those goals.
Curated deep dives 💡, trends 📈, and resources 🛠️ for effective product managers
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