TLDR Crypto 2026-09-22
Kalshi accused of Faking Perps Volume 🔊, Coinbase opens IPO allocations 📢, Avici Card 💳
Kalshi Accused of Faking Crypto Perps Volume (3 minute read)
A crypto researcher published a two-part thread alleging Kalshi is fabricating PERP trading volume, with the core evidence showing a single $5,500 ETH trade size accounted for 48-58% of all ETH PERP volume on four separate days. An anonymous source in the thread claims Kalshi runs volume incentive arrangements with market makers, creating a direct financial reward for artificial trading activity. The researcher downloaded and encrypted the underlying exchange data to three separate cloud backups ahead of potential deletion.
Polymarket faced $10 million fraud attempt as its CEO pushed growth over compliance concerns (2 minute read)
The Wall Street Journal reported that fraudsters used stolen debit cards to attempt at least $10 million in theft on Polymarket's US platform starting in February, with payment processor Checkout.com at one point rejecting over 80% of deposits as fraudulent versus an industry-standard 1%. CEO Shayne Coplan reportedly told staff to prioritize growth and address regulatory fines later, and leadership dropped a same-source withdrawal rule meant to curb money laundering despite employee warnings. Compliance officer Andrew Clifford resigned in April after flagging the fraud issues, and US CEO Justin Hertzberg was subsequently fired, though a Sullivan & Cromwell investigation concluded Polymarket complied with regulations.
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Innovation & Launches
Coinbase opens IPO allocations to US customers, starting with Oura (2 minute read)
Coinbase began letting eligible US retail customers request shares at the IPO offer price through its app, starting with Oura's debut this week, with allocations potentially full, partial, or none depending on demand. The feature is a securities offering through Coinbase Capital Markets with Apex handling execution, clearing, and custody, distinct from the pre-IPO perpetual futures on companies like SpaceX that Coinbase launched for non-US users in June, which only provide synthetic price exposure rather than ownership. Coinbase said US customers can also transfer existing stock portfolios onto the platform to trade major stocks, indexes, and ETFs, following its earlier SEC filing this month seeking approval to list equity perpetuals.
Staking Rewards as Venture Capital, Governed by Futarchy (5 minute read)
RawVentures is an ethresear.ch proposal for an ETH-native VC DAO that converts a fraction of staking rewards, not principal, into a venture vault, allowing stakers to accumulate vault shares without touching their staked ETH. Investment selection runs through prediction markets: vault shareholders forecast specific, measurable project milestones before capital is committed, and share redistribution flows from wrong forecasters to correct ones, building an on-chain track record of forecasting accuracy the proposal calls "Reputational Futarchy." The design positions the DAO as an Ethereum-specialist investor, arguing that protocol-native builder expertise surfaces deal flow that generalist VCs miss. Unresolved design questions include portfolio pricing mechanisms, manipulation resistance in the prediction markets, and a credibly independent process for verifying project outcomes.
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Learn more.HYPE Hits Record Above $90 as Hyperliquid Launches Manual Borrowing (3 minute read)
HYPE reached an all-time high of $90.92 on Friday after Hyperliquid launched manual borrowing, letting users post HYPE and Bitcoin as collateral to borrow USDC and USDT. Co-founder Jeff Yan said each borrowed asset originates from a supplier rather than platform-level margin accounting, with the feature running on the same HyperCore infrastructure as Hyperliquid's existing portfolio margin system. The protocol reported $269 million in total borrowed assets across its infrastructure as of Friday. The release came two days after Payward, Kraken's parent company, announced plans to deploy onchain perpetual futures for US clients starting with Hyperliquid's HIP-3 markets.
SEC's tokenized stock exemption is narrower than the market thinks (5 minute read)
The market is overreading the SEC's Innovation Exemption, which only covers two models: issuer-native tokenization, where a transfer agent records actual shares onchain, and third-party custodial tokenization, where a token carries the same rights as the underlying stock, including dividends and voting. Synthetic trackers, derivatives, and equity perps like HYPE or LIT don't qualify, and while Ondo's custodial tokenization approach has a legitimate connection, Backpack's rallying BP token is a redeemable "tokenized claim" on an SPV rather than an Article 8 security entitlement with full shareholder rights, so it doesn't yet fit the exemption. Infrastructure more directly aligned with the framework includes Superstate, Securitize, Figure, DTCC, DinariGlobal, and Ondo.
Before Bitcoin, There Was GP: RuneScape's Gold Piece Gets Tokenized (8 minute read)
$GP, a Solana memecoin launched September 8 on StonkFun and paired against GLDx (Backed's tokenized SPDR Gold ETF), positions Old School RuneScape's in-game currency as the original digital money predating Bitcoin. The 1 billion fixed-supply token distributes a 3% transfer tax to holders in GLDx rather than native SOL, with zero team allocation and burned LP. In its first eight days, 73,414 payouts sent $169,000 in tokenized gold to 2,085 wallets while the market cap swung from a $6K launch to a $4.86M peak and settled around $4.15M.
Vitalik Defends Effective Altruism, Cites "Galaxy Brain" Failure Mode (3 minute read)
Vitalik Buterin published a defense of intellectual honesty over strategic rebranding, asserting that effective altruism remains a core part of his value system while criticizing those who hold EA beliefs but distance themselves from the label for reputational reasons. His accompanying essay introduces "galaxy brain resistance" as an epistemic standard: reasoning frameworks that can justify any conclusion provide no explanatory power, a parallel to scientific falsifiability. The piece identifies this style of unconstrained consequentialist logic as a root cause of EA's most publicized failures, where arguments stretched to justify outcomes widely judged as harmful. Buterin separates EA's foundational commitments (care for others, cosmopolitanism, and rigorous resource allocation) from the unbounded reasoning patterns he argues corrupted its application.
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